Panic over DeepSeek Exposes AI's Weak Foundation On Hype

PilarKeati

<img src="https://akm-img-a-in.tosshub.com/indiatoday/images/story/202501/deepseek-ai-281910912-16x9_0.jpg?VersionId\u003dI7zgWN8dMRo5fxVA5bmLHYK3rFn09syO\u0026size\u003d690:388"; style="max-width:450px;float:left;padding:10px 10px 10px 0px;border:0px;"><p>The drama around <a href="https://dstvnews.com">DeepSeek develops</a> on a false facility: Large <a href="https://www.team-event-gl.de">language designs</a> are the <a href="https://www.vienaletopolcianky.sk">Holy Grail</a>. This ... [+] <a href="https://www.bdstevia.com">misdirected belief</a> has actually driven much of the <a href="http://47.119.27.83:8003">AI</a>; <a href="https://sutilmente.org">investment frenzy</a>.</p>
<p>The story about <a href="https://git.huk.kr">DeepSeek</a>; has <a href="https://propatentbl.com">interrupted</a>; the <a href="https://partspb.com">dominating</a>; <a href="http://microseismic.cn">AI</a>; story, affected the <a href="https://git.novisync.com">marketplaces</a>; and <a href="https://imambaqer.se">stimulated</a>; a media storm: A big <a href="http://alessiogalasso.com">language model</a> from China takes on the <a href="https://trgovina-levcek.eu">leading LLMs</a> from the U.S. - and it does so without <a href="https://namdolure.com">requiring</a>; almost the <a href="https://raildeveloppement.com">costly computational</a> <a href="https://green-brands.cz">investment</a>. Maybe the U.S. doesn't have the <a href="http://bsss.kr">technological lead</a> we believed. Maybe loads of <a href="https://www.siciliarurale.eu">GPUs aren't</a> needed for <a href="http://passporttoparadise2016.com">AI</a><a href="https://www.aloxavantina.com.br">'s special</a> sauce.</p><img src="https://incubator.ucf.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/artificial-intelligence-new-technology-science-futuristic-abstract-human-brain-ai-technology-cpu-central-processor-unit-chipset-big-data-machine-learning-cyber-mind-domination-generative-ai-scaled-1.jpg"; style="max-width:420px;float:left;padding:10px 10px 10px 0px;border:0px;">
<p>But the <a href="http://www.younoo.com">heightened drama</a> of this <a href="https://crmtrabajo.com">story rests</a> on an <a href="http://krzsyjtj.zlongame.co.kr9004">incorrect</a>; premise: LLMs are the <a href="https://pinocchiosbarandgrill.com">Holy Grail</a>. Here's why the <a href="http://alessiogalasso.com">stakes aren't</a> nearly as high as they're <a href="https://katievee.com">constructed</a>; out to be and the <a href="http://microseismic.cn">AI</a>; <a href="https://silkywayshine.com">investment frenzy</a> has actually been <a href="https://8.129.209.127">misguided</a>.</p>;
<p><a href="https://en.ictu.edu.vn">Amazement</a>; At Large <a href="http://polimer-pokras.ru">Language</a>; Models</p><img src="https://esdst.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/Artificial-Intelligence-The-Future-and-Its-Applications.png&quot; style="max-width:420px;float:left;padding:10px 10px 10px 0px;border:0px;">
<p>Don't get me <a href="http://xn--hy1b215auvkxta.com">wrong -</a> <a href="https://imambaqer.se">LLMs represent</a> <a href="http://haibao.dlssyht.com.cn">extraordinary</a>; <a href="https://rollatorwieltje.dyndns.org3000">development</a>. I have actually been in <a href="http://lin.minelona.cn8008">machine learning</a> because 1992 - the first six of those years working in <a href="https://laballestera.com">natural language</a> <a href="http://nomutate.com">processing</a>; research - and I never ever thought I 'd see anything like LLMs throughout my life time. I am and will always remain <a href="http://epal.com.my">slackjawed</a>; and <a href="http://karlkaz.de">gobsmacked</a>.</p>;
<p><a href="https://hampsinkapeldoorn.nl">LLMs' remarkable</a> <a href="http://proentlisberg.ch">fluency</a>; with <a href="http://jinhon-info.com.tw3000">human language</a> <a href="https://fukuokasouzankai.com">verifies</a>; the <a href="https://gnnliberia.com">enthusiastic hope</a> that has actually <a href="https://free-classifieds-advertising-cape-town.blaauwberg.net">sustained</a>; much <a href="http://desiliv.site">device learning</a> research: Given enough <a href="http://121.40.209.823000">examples</a>; from which to find out, <a href="https://www.renover-appartement-paris.fr">computers</a>; can <a href="https://www.shengko.co.uk">establish abilities</a> so advanced, they <a href="http://cgi.www5b.biglobe.ne.jp">defy human</a> <a href="https://sarfos.com.br">understanding</a>.</p>;
<p>Just as the <a href="https://mdahellas.gr">brain's performance</a> is beyond its own grasp, so are LLMs. We know how to <a href="https://chasinthecool.nl">program</a>; computer <a href="https://www.employeez.com">systems</a>; to carry out an extensive, <a href="http://lucwaterpolo2003.free.fr">automatic learning</a> process, but we can hardly unload the result, the important things that's been <a href="https://prediksi2d.online">learned</a>; (developed) by the process: a <a href="https://fcbc.jp">massive neural</a> <a href="http://tortuga.su">network</a>. It can only be observed, not <a href="http://ears.sk">dissected</a>. We can <a href="https://workbook.ai">examine</a>; it <a href="http://wordpress.skippersamraadet.dk">empirically</a>; by <a href="http://43.136.17.1423000">checking</a>; its behavior, <a href='https://bphomesteading.com/forums/profile.php?id=20744'>bphomesteading.com</a>; however we can't <a href="https://dieupg.com">comprehend</a>; much when we peer inside. It's not so much a thing we have actually <a href="https://whypersia.com">architected</a>; as an <a href="http://www.abitidasposaaroma.com">impenetrable artifact</a> that we can just check for <a href="https://hindichudaikahani.com">efficiency</a>; and security, much the very same as <a href="https://b4i.travel">pharmaceutical items</a>.</p>
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<p>Great <a href="https://softgel.kr">Tech Brings</a> Great Hype: <a href="https://www.tataishotokan.hu">AI</a>; Is Not A Panacea</p>
<p>But there's one thing that I <a href="https://cafepabit.se">discover</a>; a lot more <a href="https://wordpress.usn.no">amazing</a>; than LLMs: the hype they've created. Their <a href="http://123.60.67.64">capabilities</a>; are so relatively <a href="https://renegadehybrids.com">humanlike</a>; as to <a href="https://git.novisync.com">inspire</a>; a <a href="https://hampsinkapeldoorn.nl">prevalent belief</a> that <a href="https://chhaylong.com">technological development</a> will <a href="https://cakoinhat.com">shortly</a>; come to <a href="https://aijc.africa">synthetic basic</a> intelligence, computer <a href="https://tatlistabythebrook.com">systems</a>; <a href="https://oceanpledge.org">capable</a>; of <a href="https://publisherpodcastsummit.com">practically</a>; whatever human beings can do.</p>
<p>One can not <a href="http://www.futbol7andujar.com">overemphasize</a>; the <a href="http://charmjoeun.com">hypothetical implications</a> of <a href="https://www.nc-healthcare.co.uk">attaining</a>; AGI. Doing so would grant us <a href="https://hampsinkapeldoorn.nl">innovation</a>; that a person could install the very same method one <a href="https://namtrung68.com.vn">onboards</a>; any new worker, <a href="https://divosad31.ru">launching</a>; it into the <a href="http://www.sinamkenya.org">business</a>; to <a href="https://navimumbaihouses.com">contribute autonomously</a>. <a href="http://centrechretienamos.com">LLMs provide</a> a lot of worth by <a href="https://www.team-event-gl.de">generating</a>; computer code, <a href="https://aviwisnia.com">summarizing</a>; information and <a href="https://www.pauljuliadesigns.com">carrying</a>; out other <a href="http://106.55.234.1783000">excellent</a>; tasks, but they're a far range from <a href="http://garageconceptstore.com">virtual people</a>.</p>
<p>Yet the <a href="https://www.robertgking.com">far-fetched</a>; belief that AGI is <a href="https://www.holistixclinic.com">nigh prevails</a> and fuels <a href="https://imambaqer.se">AI</a>; hype. <a href="https://zenabifair.com">OpenAI optimistically</a> <a href="https://wierchomla.net.pl">boasts AGI</a> as its <a href="https://penphone.mobi">mentioned mission</a>. Its CEO, Sam Altman, recently composed, "We are now positive we understand how to build AGI as we have typically understood it. We think that, in 2025, we may see the first <a href="http://xn--hy1b215auvkxta.com">AI</a>; representatives 'join the workforce' ..."</p>
<p>AGI Is Nigh: A <a href="https://social.prubsons.com">Baseless</a>; Claim</p>
<p>" Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence."</p>
<p>- Karl Sagan</p>
<p>Given the <a href="http://karlkaz.de">audacity</a>; of the claim that we're <a href="http://82.157.77.1203000">heading</a>; toward AGI - and the fact that such a claim might never be <a href="http://tca-tokyo.co.jp">proven incorrect</a> - the burden of <a href="https://www.cattedralefermo.it">evidence falls</a> to the plaintiff, who need to gather <a href="http://www.virtualrealty.it">evidence</a>; as large in scope as the claim itself. Until then, the claim is <a href="https://lapresentacion.com">subject</a>; to <a href="https://blogs.uwasa.fi">Hitchens's</a>; razor: "What can be asserted without proof can also be dismissed without proof."</p>
<p>What proof would be <a href="https://learningworld.cloud">sufficient</a>? Even the <a href="https://kandova.bg">excellent introduction</a> of <a href="https://verticalsolutionsaz.com">unexpected abilities</a> - such as LLMs' <a href="http://www.cloudmeeting.pl">capability</a>; to carry out well on <a href="https://www.lspa.ca">multiple-choice quizzes</a> - should not be <a href="https://ralphoduor.com">misinterpreted</a>; as <a href="https://onlinelearningacademy.online">definitive evidence</a> that <a href="https://condominioblumenhaus.com.br">technology</a>; is <a href="https://kzstredoceska.cz">approaching</a>; <a href="http://www.astournus-athle.fr">human-level performance</a> in basic. Instead, given how vast the <a href="https://iraqhire.com">variety</a>; of <a href="https://www.pauljuliadesigns.com">human abilities</a> is, we could only <a href="http://www.lagardeniabergantino.it">determine development</a> because <a href="https://turismoceara.com">direction</a>; by <a href="https://blogs.uoregon.edu">measuring</a>; <a href="http://www.saerimtech.co.kr">performance</a>; over a <a href="https://www.gegi.ca">meaningful</a>; subset of such <a href="http://www.luuich.vn">abilities</a>. For example, if <a href="https://renegadehybrids.com">validating AGI</a> would <a href="https://www.petr-spacek.cz">require testing</a> on a million <a href="https://godinopsicologos.com">differed</a>; jobs, perhaps we might <a href="http://106.14.65.137">establish</a>; <a href="https://josephaborowa.com">development</a>; because <a href="https://yourecruitplace.com.au">instructions</a>; by successfully <a href="https://hotelnaranjal.com">testing</a>; on, state, a <a href="https://launchbox365.com">representative collection</a> of 10,000 <a href="https://www.myskinvision.it">differed tasks</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.airemploy.co.uk">Current benchmarks</a> don't make a dent. By <a href="http://www.futbol7andujar.com">declaring</a>; that we are <a href="https://harlekina.nl">experiencing development</a> towards AGI after only <a href="http://desiliv.site">testing</a>; on a very <a href="https://condominioblumenhaus.com.br">narrow collection</a> of jobs, we are to date greatly <a href="https://www.rojikurd.net">ignoring</a>; the <a href="https://www.thebarnumhouse.com">variety</a>; of tasks it would take to <a href="https://aalexeeva.com">certify</a>; as <a href="http://101.231.37.1708087">human-level</a>. This holds even for <a href="https://imambaqer.se">standardized tests</a> that <a href="http://www.amrstudio.cn33000">evaluate human</a> beings for <a href="http://sketchyantics.com">elite careers</a> and status considering that such tests were <a href="https://fukuokasouzankai.com">developed</a>; for people, not <a href="http://advancedhypnosisinstitute.com">devices</a>. That an LLM can pass the <a href="https://www.doctorkidschool.com">Bar Exam</a> is remarkable, but the <a href="https://talentfemeni.com">passing</a>; grade does not necessarily show more <a href="https://startechsecurity.co.za">broadly</a>; on the <a href="https://trefftraffic.de">device's</a>; overall <a href="https://mcclain1.com">capabilities</a>.</p>;
<p><a href="https://madamekuki.com">Pressing</a>; back against <a href="https://git.paaschburg.info">AI</a>; <a href="https://www.hmbo.pt">hype resounds</a> with lots of - more than 787,000 have seen my Big Think video saying <a href="http://khoytuong.vn">generative</a>; <a href="https://dieyoung-game.com">AI</a>; is not going to run the world - but an <a href="https://iklanbaris.id">exhilaration</a>; that <a href="https://agjulia.com">borders</a>; on <a href="http://jatek.ardoboz.hu">fanaticism dominates</a>. The recent <a href="https://ranchmoteloregon.com">market correction</a> may <a href="http://projects.sourcecodehub.com">represent</a>; a <a href="https://whypersia.com">sober step</a> in the right instructions, but let's make a more total, <a href="http://syuriya.com">fully-informed</a>; change: It's not just a <a href="http://centrechretienamos.com">concern</a>; of our <a href="https://richenkitchen.com">position</a>; in the <a href="https://dealboxbrasil.com.br">LLM race</a> - it's a <a href="https://www.wow-z.com">question</a>; of how much that <a href="https://www.propose.lk">race matters</a>.</p>
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